Live MTT, rebuy period has just ended. I have 2300 in chips, a bit lower than average for the table (we started with 1000, but with multi-rebuys the majority has 3K+) , I'm in the cutoff.
Blinds are 25-50, two limpers, a player two to my right makes it 250 to go. I'm in the cutoff. I look down at two Aces and with potentially 5 other players I raise to 500, hoping to get rid of all but 1 or 2. All players fold back to the raiser who calls.
The caller has been fairly loose, limping a lot, and raising with stuff like AQ and a pair of 7's regardless of position. On an earlier hand he flopped a set and tried to trap me, I read it correctly and folded with high pair big kicker, another player behind me wasn't so lucky and lost his stack when he flopped two pair.
Now the flop comes 9 K 6 with a club draw. He checks. I have 1800 left, he has just over 1900. The pot is 1000.
I have nearly a quarter of my stack invested, as does he. I know I have to fire at least a bit more than half the pot for value and to discourage any drawing hands. If I do that then I've committed about a third of my remaining chips. Seems silly to do that and then fold to a big raise.
I'm pretty confident I've got the best hand, and I'd love to just take his 250 plus the blinds and limpers chips (175). The words of Doyle Brunson echo in my head "Aces will win a small pot or lose a big one"
I have put this guy on a big pair, Queens, Jacks or very possibly AK. People stupidly fall in love with AK (myself included sometimes) especially after a bad beat, which this guy DID have before the break. If he'd had a pair of Aces or Kings he would have come over my pre-flop raise.
He could have a smaller pair, but would he put in almost a quarter of his stack out of position against a big raise? Hopefully he would be that dumb. If I was online I would pull the trigger completely without even thinking about it.
I'm not going to commit a third of my chips and fold here, if I know he doesn't have Kings. If he has two club face cards or a lousy middle or small pair. I MUST punish him for trying to draw out on me or sticking around, without giving myself a tough decision if he does catch something.
He's a pretty bad player, seems experienced, but he's seen me splashing around and stealing for the last hour or so. He probably thinks I'm a young aggressive punk who likes to push the table around. You know, I have the best hand, and he just might call!
I'm all-in.
He insta-calls. Oh shit.
Yep, he has 6 6 in the hole.
He raised 4x the BB in late middle position with 66. Reasonable yes, but then called when I raised him double. Two cards in the deck would save him, and of course one hit.
I think I did okay here, a better play I could have made - in hindsight after thinking about how he had been playing - would have been to go all-in pre-flop. I DOUBT very much he would have even considered calling with sixes, since he hadn't yet called a 250 raise.
Sigh. I give myself a B- for this play; but I can't be too hard on myself. I recognize there was a better way to play, but also that there were only 2 cards in the deck that could have saved this limper/donkey.
Pepper St. Tourney coming up in 2 weeks! Flatline starts the following Monday! I'll have to suck it up and hold out till' then for my next poker fix.
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